Description

This analysis provides a forecast of OP prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-11-03 00:00:00+00:00 1.037551 1.256048 1.488255 1.751458 2.039656 2.343936 2.687822
2024-11-10 00:00:00+00:00 0.791223 1.097284 1.445780 1.863771 2.344030 2.871988 3.489974
2024-11-17 00:00:00+00:00 0.667406 1.020360 1.441680 1.965466 2.584793 3.281378 4.112410
2024-11-24 00:00:00+00:00 0.545716 0.924479 1.398719 2.008772 2.749174 3.598816 4.629029
2024-12-01 00:00:00+00:00 0.438674 0.826931 1.336800 2.014113 2.855734 3.838615 5.046990
2024-12-08 00:00:00+00:00 0.329641 0.707657 1.232340 1.954227 2.873615 3.966597 5.328903
2024-12-15 00:00:00+00:00 0.243735 0.605236 1.137358 1.895429 2.883787 4.078215 5.585517
2024-12-22 00:00:00+00:00 0.183181 0.529528 1.069713 1.864383 2.922170 4.218712 5.872084
2024-12-29 00:00:00+00:00 0.148823 0.491102 1.051011 1.895513 3.037282 4.451382 6.268367
2025-01-05 00:00:00+00:00 0.115967 0.447414 1.019236 1.904760 3.121277 4.643791 6.614837
2025-01-12 00:00:00+00:00 0.082364 0.391845 0.962455 1.873864 3.148843 4.763176 6.870382
2025-01-19 00:00:00+00:00 0.078126 0.401461 1.011545 1.996062 3.381430 5.142062 7.446235
2025-01-26 00:00:00+00:00 0.070985 0.405073 1.054857 2.117286 3.623410 5.546422 8.071286
2025-02-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.063743 0.406908 1.095420 2.235956 3.864584 5.953414 8.704605
2025-02-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.057172 0.408319 1.134146 2.351170 4.100624 6.353649 9.329525
2025-02-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.044228 0.385959 1.128539 2.398291 4.242923 6.633887 9.805967
2025-02-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.030262 0.351913 1.097852 2.404522 4.327066 6.838156 10.187003
2025-03-02 00:00:00+00:00 0.015297 0.298251 1.023383 2.338043 4.306545 6.904466 10.393384
2025-03-09 00:00:00+00:00 0.006004 0.250617 0.953045 2.272840 4.283973 6.965269 10.590570
2025-03-16 00:00:00+00:00 0.001784 0.216430 0.904389 2.238342 4.301595 7.075831 10.847790
2025-03-23 00:00:00+00:00 0.000554 0.202480 0.898010 2.272924 4.418544 7.317990 11.273060
2025-03-30 00:00:00+00:00 0.000017 0.183812 0.878119 2.283189 4.499200 7.511425 11.636013
2025-04-06 00:00:00+00:00 NaN 0.156922 0.833849 2.248879 4.512547 7.613605 11.881129